Plains People Trading & Consulting

Predictive Markets. Proactive Margins: from Cattle Feeding to Sports betting

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Predictive Market Director:

Ari H.

“The Jew that Knew”

Ari isn’t just a trader—he’s a phenomenon. Born with an instinct for probabilities and a mind wired for strategy, Ari turned sports betting into an art form and commodities trading into a science. Expelled from business school for playing too close to the edge? He calls it a badge of honor—a reminder that rules are for people who can’t beat the game.

Senior Analyst & Trader

Brando W.

“25-Year-Old Trading Visionary”

At just 25 years old, Brando has shattered expectations in the world of options trading and predictive market strategy. Renowned for her ability to forecast volatility and price movements with surgical precision, Brando has mastered the art of transforming risk into opportunity. Her approach is fearless, data-driven, and unapologetically focused on winning.

Brando’s expertise lies in predictive trading, where she harnesses advanced analytics, behavioral modeling, and real-time market intelligence to anticipate trends before they emerge. Beyond the trading floor, Brando designs hedging frameworks for agriculture, protecting feedlots and agribusinesses from market shocks while unlocking new profit streams.

Options Desk Manager:

Seraphina Gold

“The Queen of Odds”

Seraphina Gold doesn’t play the market—she bends it to her will. At 30, she’s already a legend in the options game, turning volatility into her personal playground. While others panic over price swings, Seraphina thrives on chaos, stacking wins like chips at a poker table. Her obsession? Sports betting and options trading—because why settle for one arena when you can dominate both?

Predictive Market Consultant

Moses

“The Spread King”

Moses didn’t just grow up in the Bronx—he grew up hustling odds. At 45, he’s the guy Wall Street whispers about when cattle spreads start moving. While most traders stick to vanilla strategies, Moses thrives in the complex world of options, cattle crush spreads, and credit default swaps. He’s not here to play safe—he’s here to dominate.

Every trade is a calculated ambush. He sees risk where others see chaos and turns it into profit with surgical precision. Moses doesn’t follow the market; he writes the playbook. From hedging feedyard margins to structuring swaps that make banks sweat, his game is pure strategy and swagger. If you’re looking for boring, look elsewhere. If you want to learn how the best turn volatility into victory, Moses is your guy.

Beyond Futures: Why OTC Hedging is a Game-Changer for Cattle Feeders

Options Desk Manager @ Plains People Trading & Consulting:

Seraphina Gold

“The Queen of Odds”

✅ What is OTC Hedging?

OTC (Over-the-Counter) contracts are privately negotiated agreements between two parties—usually a cattle feeder and a packer, or a feeder and a risk management firm. Unlike standardized CME futures, OTC contracts allow customization of:

  • Price formula: Fixed price or CME futures month + negotiated basis.
  • Delivery window: Specific dates aligned with your feeding cycle.
  • Quantity: Head count or pounds.
  • Settlement method: Cash settlement or physical delivery.
  • Other terms: Weight tolerances, grade specs, and regional adjustments.

This flexibility makes OTC a powerful tool for feeders who need precision hedging beyond what exchange-traded futures offer.

✅ How OTC Works for Cattle Feeders

  • Lock in a basis-adjusted price tied to CME futures.
  • Match contract terms to your marketing window and projected finish weights.
  • Reduce basis risk that futures alone cannot hedge.
  • Combine OTC with CME futures/options for directional price protection.

✅ Pros of OTC Hedging

✔ Customization: Tailor contracts to your operation’s needs (delivery, weight, grade).
✔ Basis Control: Lock in regional basis, reducing local price risk.
✔ Flexibility: Adjust terms for holidays, weather delays, or packer schedules.
✔ Margin Stability: Secure profit targets before market volatility hits.
✔ Relationship Advantage: Often negotiated directly with packers or trusted counterparties.

✅ Cons of OTC Hedging

✖ Counterparty Risk: No exchange clearing—depends on the financial strength of your counterparty.
✖ Liquidity: Harder to exit or offset compared to CME futures.
✖ Transparency: Prices are negotiated, not publicly quoted—requires trust and market knowledge.
✖ Regulatory Oversight: Less standardized than exchange-traded contracts.
✖ Complexity: Requires strong understanding of basis, formulas, and risk exposure.

✅ Best Practice for Feeders

  • Use OTC to hedge basis and timing risk.
  • Layer CME futures/options for directional price risk.
  • Maintain a written risk management plan with clear margin targets.
  • Work with reputable counterparties and confirm credit terms.
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